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2024-12-14 06:27:34

Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".Dutch Ministry of Defence: All F-16 fighters have been transferred to Romania. On the 12th local time, the Dutch Ministry of Defence announced that the Royal Dutch Air Force has completed the upgrade from F-16 fighters to more advanced F-35 fighters. In order to make full use of the retired F-16 fighters, the Dutch government has signed an intention agreement to transfer these fighters to Romania. This will enable Romania to train a new generation of pilots, including Ukrainian pilots. On November 7, last year, the Netherlands sent the first batch of F-16 fighters to the European F-16 fighter training center in Romania for training Ukrainian pilots. In September this year, Romanian Defense Ministry spokesman Spinu said that the first batch of Ukrainian fighter pilots arrived in Romania at the beginning of this month and began to receive theoretical training for F-16 fighters. Practical training may begin before the end of this year.On Thursday (December 12), the won finally fell 0.05% against the US dollar to 1,429.98 won, which was as low as 1,434.70 won at 10:53 Beijing time.


Raw sugar futures fell by 1.7%, coffee C fell by more than 0.6%, and new york cocoa rose by 1.9%, which once reached a record high. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 1.69% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 1.29%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell by 0.64% and rose to 348.35 cents/pound on December 10, and continued to pull back. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.45%. New york cocoa futures rose 1.93% to US$ 10,781/ton, and rose to US$ 10,900 at 23:23 Beijing time, a record high after a trading day. London cocoa futures rose 2.54% to 8063, and also rose to 8680 at 23:25, a record high for three consecutive days. ICE cotton futures fell 0.14%.BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government: Aleppo Airport is ready, and the civil airport is trying to recover. On the evening of the 12th local time, the Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government said that he was working hard to prepare for the recovery of the Syrian civil airport for planes to take off and land. At the same time, the department is also coordinating the operational procedures for transit with neighboring countries. The minister said that in the next few hours, Syrian airspace will be opened to air traffic. At present, Aleppo International Airport in Syria is ready, and Syria will announce the operation dates of Damascus International Airport and Aleppo International Airport in the next few days.


The President of Belarus approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030. According to the website of the President of Belarus on the 12th, President Lukashenko approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030 at the meeting of the Belarusian Security Council that day. Lukashenko pointed out at the meeting that in recent years, the military and political situation around Belarus has deteriorated, individual countries have escalated the situation around Belarus, and European countries' destructive remarks against Belarus have also increased. He stressed that the Belarusian army poses no threat to any country, is a tool to prevent war, and will repel the enemy when the country is invaded.IBM and Illinois will cooperate with universities and industry to establish the National Center for Quantum Algorithms in Chicago.New york Fed said Neil would return to work in the private sector.

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